Tag: Estimation

  • Taking a punt? Times it by Pi

    Taking a punt? Times it by Pi

    I’m fascinated by things that we’re serially terrible at and estimating is one of them. Judging how long something will take is a tricky proposition for us humans.  We overestimate our competence, underestimate the complexity, rarely factor in the inevitable curve balls and often forget to consider any clean up.  If we repeat something enough, we…